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138A.T$2841.00+0.00%
Fair $2841.00+0.0%

138A.T

138A.T

Consumer Cyclical / RestaurantsTokyo

$2841.00

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2841.00Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 50/C
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 24%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $40.7M · quality 52.3/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 37/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

50/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 138A.TLocal privado en este navegador · 138A.T
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.8B

P/E

27.5x

↑

EV/EBITDA

7.9x

↓

ROE

7.8%

↑

Gross Margin

73.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.63

↑
52-Week Range$2841
$1725$3540

TradingView lightweight chart

138A.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2,841Periodo -54.6%
Fair value: $2,841

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+19.3%

FCF CAGR

-40.9%

FCF margin

1.4%

FCF / Net income

0.40x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.86B · net income $102.5M · FCF $40.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

73.3%+1.1% pts

Operating margin

7.9%+5.0% pts

Net margin

3.6%-0.2% pts

FCF margin

1.4%-10.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.86B$2.86B$2.57B$2.23B$1.68B
Net Income$102.5M$102.5M$100.3M$201.0M$62.9M
EBITDA$286.8M$286.8M$275.8M$342.2M$188.9M
EPS——109.64299.1793.57
Gross Margin73.3%73.3%73.4%72.3%72.2%
Operating Margin7.9%7.9%8.5%11.8%2.9%
Net Margin3.6%3.6%3.9%9.0%3.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.630.630.602.718.26
Current Ratio2.502.50———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$40.7M$40.7M$-32.6M$300.9M$197.2M
Returns
ROE7.8%7.8%8.0%55.2%38.6%
Valuation
P/E27.4727.4721.41——
EV/EBITDA7.887.885.71——
P/B2.152.151.72——
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth11.5%11.5%15.4%32.1%—
EPS Growth——-63.4%219.7%—
Dividend Yield1.7%1.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +47.5%

Total return

+47.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

109.64 → n/d

Residual

+45.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+1.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+45.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.