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1395.HK$0.15+4.20%
Fair $0.15+0.0%

1395.HK

ELL Environmental Holdings Limited

Industrials / Waste ManagementHKSE

$0.15

+0.01 (+4.20%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.15Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 46/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $1.1M · quality 55.3/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 23/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

46/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 1395.HKLocal privado en este navegador · ELL Environmental Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$165M

P/E

7.5x

↓

EV/EBITDA

3.9x

↓

ROE

7.6%

↑

Gross Margin

46.2%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.29

↓
52-Week Range$0
$0$0

TradingView lightweight chart

1395.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.149Periodo -84.1%
Fair value: $0.149

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-6.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

12.8%

FCF / Net income

1.00x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $166.7M · net income $21.3M · FCF $21.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

46.2%+20.6% pts

Operating margin

32.2%+21.1% pts

Net margin

12.8%+20.8% pts

FCF margin

12.8%+54.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$166.7M$166.7M$121.6M$113.3M$203.7M
Net Income$21.3M$21.3M$-8.7M$-8.3M$-16.3M
EBITDA$50.6M$50.6M$18.9M$18.4M$14.3M
EPS0.020.02-0.01-0.01-0.01
Gross Margin46.2%46.2%51.0%35.9%25.6%
Operating Margin32.2%32.2%14.9%12.6%11.1%
Net Margin12.8%12.8%-7.2%-7.3%-8.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.290.290.390.290.21
Current Ratio1.901.90———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$21.3M$21.3M$1.1M$-30.7M$-84.5M
Returns
ROE7.6%7.6%-3.4%-2.9%-5.5%
Valuation
P/E7.457.45———
EV/EBITDA3.883.8812.186.2814.32
P/B0.590.590.640.220.60
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth37.1%37.1%7.4%-44.4%—
EPS Growth343.0%343.0%-5.3%49.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-11.7%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.01

Spread vs growth

354.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-3.6%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.02

Spread vs growth

346.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

3.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.03

Spread vs growth

340.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +0.7%

Total return

+0.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.01 → 0.02

Residual

+0.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.