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1399.HK$0.56+38.27%
Fair $0.56+0.0%

1399.HK

Veson Holdings Limited

Industrials / Electrical Equipment & PartsHKSE

$0.56

+0.16 (+38.27%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.56Fund rank 22/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 44/C
F-Score: 7/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $11.7M · quality 33.7/100

Data gap 22/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 6/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

44/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 2.0%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 1399.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Veson Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$610M

P/E

28.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

9.2x

↓

ROE

2.0%

↓

Gross Margin

7.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.05

↑
52-Week Range$1
$0$1

TradingView lightweight chart

1399.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.560Periodo -81.6%
Fair value: $0.560

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-6.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

0.2%

FCF / Net income

0.54x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $5.23B · net income $21.5M · FCF $11.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

7.6%+0.4% pts

Operating margin

1.8%+0.6% pts

Net margin

0.4%+0.0% pts

FCF margin

0.2%+4.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$5.23B$5.23B$5.34B$6.15B$6.36B
Net Income$21.5M$21.5M$-12.0M$20.1M$24.0M
EBITDA$170.9M$170.9M$167.5M$205.6M$222.3M
EPS0.020.02-0.010.020.02
Gross Margin7.6%7.6%7.1%6.8%7.2%
Operating Margin1.8%1.8%1.2%1.4%1.2%
Net Margin0.4%0.4%-0.2%0.3%0.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.051.051.141.201.13
Current Ratio1.271.27———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$11.7M$11.7M$221.3M$-130.5M$-253.1M
Returns
ROE2.0%2.0%-1.1%1.8%2.2%
Valuation
P/E28.0028.00—12.1711.54
EV/EBITDA9.229.226.516.925.76
P/B0.560.560.180.220.26
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-2.2%-2.2%-13.0%-3.4%—
EPS Growth280.0%280.0%-159.8%-16.7%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

35.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.05

Spread vs growth

244.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

24.9%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.06

Spread vs growth

255.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

17.2%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.10

Spread vs growth

262.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +182.8%

Total return

+182.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.01 → 0.02

Residual

+182.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+182.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.