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1405.HK$39.92+1.63%
Fair $39.92+0.0%

1405.HK

DPC Dash Ltd

Consumer Cyclical / RestaurantsHKSE

$39.92

+0.64 (+1.63%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $39.92Fund rank 35/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 38/D
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $386.9M · quality 70.3/100

Data gap 35/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 76/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

38/100

D

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 1405.HKLocal privado en este navegador · DPC Dash Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.3B

P/E

32.7x

↑

EV/EBITDA

6.4x

↓

ROE

5.8%

↑

Gross Margin

44.1%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.82

↑
52-Week Range$40
$37$107

TradingView lightweight chart

1405.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $39.92Periodo -13.1%
Fair value: $39.92

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+38.6%

FCF CAGR

+64.1%

FCF margin

7.2%

FCF / Net income

2.73x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $5.38B · net income $141.9M · FCF $386.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

44.1%+10.2% pts

Operating margin

5.1%+10.7% pts

Net margin

2.6%+13.7% pts

FCF margin

7.2%+2.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$5.38B$5.38B$4.31B$3.05B$2.02B
Net Income$141.9M$141.9M$55.2M$-26.6M$-222.6M
EBITDA$1.00B$1.00B$748.6M$519.1M$223.8M
EPS1.051.050.42-0.22-1.75
Gross Margin44.1%44.1%44.3%42.7%33.9%
Operating Margin5.1%5.1%3.7%-1.7%-5.5%
Net Margin2.6%2.6%1.3%-0.9%-11.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.820.820.700.592.51
Current Ratio0.900.90———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$386.9M$386.9M$402.2M$219.9M$87.6M
Returns
ROE5.8%5.8%2.5%-1.3%-29.6%
Valuation
P/E32.7232.72175.48——
EV/EBITDA6.386.3813.4914.18—
P/B2.212.214.283.40—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth24.8%24.8%41.4%51.0%—
EPS Growth150.0%150.0%290.9%87.5%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

50.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.54

Spread vs growth

100.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

32.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$4.29

Spread vs growth

117.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

20.7%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$6.90

Spread vs growth

129.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -58.1%

Total return

-58.1%

Start / end P/E

226.7x → 38.0x

EPS bridge

0.42 → 1.05

Residual

-124.8%

EPS growth+150.0%
Multiple rerating-83.2%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-124.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.