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1409.TW$27.55+9.87%
Fair $27.55+0.0%

1409.TW

Shinkong Synthetic Fibers Corporation

Consumer Cyclical / Textile ManufacturingTaiwan

$27.55

+2.25 (+9.87%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $27.55Fund rank 19/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 41/C
F-Score: 5/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 14%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-8.4B · quality 26.3/100

Data gap 19/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 5/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

41/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 4.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 1409.TWLocal privado en este navegador · Shinkong Synthetic Fibers Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$44.1B

P/E

23.2x

↑

EV/EBITDA

14.2x

↑

ROE

4.6%

↓

Gross Margin

24.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.56

↑
52-Week Range$28
$12$25

TradingView lightweight chart

1409.TW price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $25.05Periodo +197.3%
Fair value: $27.55

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-5.2%

FCF CAGR

+30.8%

FCF margin

1.2%

FCF / Net income

0.24x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $37.98B · net income $1.92B · FCF $459.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

24.1%+3.0% pts

Operating margin

11.1%+0.4% pts

Net margin

5.1%-1.3% pts

FCF margin

1.2%+0.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$37.98B$37.98B$44.95B$38.98B$44.63B
Net Income$1.92B$1.92B$1.71B$764.4M$2.82B
EBITDA$7.05B$7.05B$7.41B$5.23B$7.49B
EPS——1.060.471.75
Gross Margin24.1%24.1%22.2%18.0%21.1%
Operating Margin11.1%11.1%11.7%7.8%10.7%
Net Margin5.1%5.1%3.8%2.0%6.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.561.561.681.491.23
Current Ratio1.021.02———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$459.0M$459.0M$-8.41B$-8.88B$205.2M
Returns
ROE4.6%4.6%4.5%2.1%8.0%
Valuation
P/E23.1523.1513.7333.3010.06
EV/EBITDA14.1814.1810.4513.188.13
P/B1.071.070.620.700.80
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-15.5%-15.5%15.3%-12.7%—
EPS Growth——125.5%-73.1%—
Dividend Yield2.4%2.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +91.5%

Total return

+91.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

1.06 → n/d

Residual

+89.1%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+2.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+89.1%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.