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v0.1
1416.HK$0.22-5.11%
Fair $0.22+0.0%

1416.HK

CTR Holdings Limited

Industrials / Engineering & ConstructionHKSE

$0.22

-0.01 (-5.11%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.22Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 69/B
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 23%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $5.2M · quality 55.3/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 32/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

69/100

B

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 1416.HKLocal privado en este navegador · CTR Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$312M

P/E

4.5x

↓

EV/EBITDA

27.3x

↑

ROE

12.9%

↑

Gross Margin

11.9%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$0
$0$0

TradingView lightweight chart

1416.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.223Periodo -12.5%
Fair value: $0.223

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+25.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

1.2%

FCF / Net income

0.31x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $206.9M · net income $7.8M · FCF $2.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

11.9%+3.8% pts

Operating margin

4.0%+5.4% pts

Net margin

3.8%+4.0% pts

FCF margin

1.2%+2.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$206.9M$206.9M$150.2M$89.8M$105.7M
Net Income$7.8M$7.8M$2.7M$6.9M$-306000.00
EBITDA$10.4M$10.4M$4.1M$9.2M$736000.00
EPS0.010.010.000.00-0.00
Gross Margin11.9%11.9%10.3%22.2%8.1%
Operating Margin4.0%4.0%1.3%8.4%-1.4%
Net Margin3.8%3.8%1.8%7.7%-0.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.000.000.000.01
Current Ratio1.531.53———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$2.4M$2.4M$12.4M$5.2M$-1.6M
Returns
ROE12.9%12.9%5.1%13.8%-0.7%
Valuation
P/E4.464.4628.4212.24—
EV/EBITDA27.2627.2612.058.04461.53
P/B5.195.191.441.698.12
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth37.7%37.7%67.4%-15.1%—
EPS Growth189.5%189.5%-61.2%2550.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

53.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.02

Spread vs growth

136.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

34.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.02

Spread vs growth

155.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

21.5%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.04

Spread vs growth

168.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +214.1%

Total return

+214.1%

Start / end P/E

37.4x → 40.5x

EPS bridge

0.00 → 0.01

Residual

+16.1%

EPS growth+189.5%
Multiple rerating+8.5%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+16.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.