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v0.1
1417.HK$1.74+5.45%
Fair $1.74+0.0%

1417.HK

Riverine China Holdings Limited

Real Estate / Real Estate ServicesHKSE

$1.74

+0.09 (+5.45%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1.74Fund rank 18/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 33/D
F-Score: 5/9
High DebtLow Profitability

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 0.0/100

Data gap 18/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 14/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

33/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific NAV/AFFO model required: REIT/real-estate targets are disabled until FFO/AFFO/NAV/cap-rate data exists. REIT NAV/AFFO valuation requires positive AFFO/share history or TTM AFFO/share; generic FCF remains disabled. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 3.61, above the 2.0 threshold ROE is -19.8%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 1417.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Riverine China Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$705M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

29.2x

↑

ROE

-19.8%

↓

Gross Margin

12.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

3.61

↑
52-Week Range$2
$0$3

TradingView lightweight chart

1417.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1.740Periodo +8.7%
Fair value: $1.740

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+5.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

0.2%

FCF / Net income

-0.11x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.08B · net income $-25.0M · FCF $2.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

12.3%-1.9% pts

Operating margin

1.7%-2.0% pts

Net margin

-2.3%-3.7% pts

FCF margin

0.2%+1.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.08B$1.08B$966.8M$919.7M$917.6M
Net Income$-25.0M$-25.0M$-50.3M$-74.5M$12.5M
EBITDA$33.6M$33.6M$7.1M$-52.8M$70.1M
EPS——-0.13-0.190.03
Gross Margin12.3%12.3%11.9%8.1%14.2%
Operating Margin1.7%1.7%-2.5%-7.4%3.7%
Net Margin-2.3%-2.3%-5.2%-8.1%1.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity3.613.612.771.871.23
Current Ratio1.021.02———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$2.7M$2.7M$-3.2M$-31.8M$-13.3M
Returns
ROE-19.8%-19.8%-33.1%-36.7%4.4%
Valuation
P/E————20.00
EV/EBITDA29.2429.2448.86—5.92
P/B5.595.590.520.740.84
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth11.4%11.4%5.1%0.2%—
EPS Growth——31.6%-733.3%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +607.3%

Total return

+607.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.13 → n/d

Residual

+607.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+607.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.