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1417.TW$8.20+0.49%
Fair $8.20+0.0%

1417.TW

Carnival Industrial Corporation

Consumer Cyclical / Apparel RetailTaiwan

$8.20

+0.04 (+0.49%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $8.20Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 43/C
F-Score: 5/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $62.3M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 10/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

43/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 1417.TWLocal privado en este navegador · Carnival Industrial Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.6B

P/E

13.2x

↓

EV/EBITDA

5.8x

↓

ROE

5.0%

↑

Gross Margin

53.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.08

↓
52-Week Range$8
$8$9

TradingView lightweight chart

1417.TW price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $8.200Periodo -40.1%
Fair value: $8.200

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-34.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

11.3%

FCF / Net income

0.39x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $403.8M · net income $117.2M · FCF $45.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

53.5%+23.8% pts

Operating margin

-5.0%+8.7% pts

Net margin

29.0%+21.6% pts

FCF margin

11.3%+27.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$403.8M$403.8M$603.2M$1.50B$1.42B
Net Income$117.2M$117.2M$-154.5M$-66.2M$106.4M
EBITDA$163.2M$163.2M$-108.8M$43.4M$204.0M
EPS——-0.81-0.370.56
Gross Margin53.5%53.5%22.7%33.4%29.7%
Operating Margin-5.0%-5.0%-40.7%-5.3%-13.6%
Net Margin29.0%29.0%-25.6%-4.4%7.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.080.080.140.220.45
Current Ratio4.634.63———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$45.7M$45.7M$62.3M$486.1M$-235.7M
Returns
ROE5.0%5.0%-6.7%-2.6%3.9%
Valuation
P/E13.2313.23——25.54
EV/EBITDA5.835.83—47.7214.71
P/B0.660.660.780.871.00
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-33.1%-33.1%-59.7%5.2%—
EPS Growth——-118.9%-166.1%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +2.0%

Total return

+2.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.81 → n/d

Residual

+2.0%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+2.0%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.