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1431.HK$0.28-1.75%
Fair $0.28+0.0%

1431.HK

YuanShengTai Dairy Farm Limited

Consumer Defensive / Farm ProductsHKSE

$0.28

-0.00 (-1.75%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.28Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 57/C
F-Score: 8/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $123.8M · quality 48.3/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 17/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

57/100

C

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 1431.HKLocal privado en este navegador · YuanShengTai Dairy Farm Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.3B

P/E

2.0x

↓

EV/EBITDA

1.8x

↓

ROE

9.8%

↑

Gross Margin

40.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.11

↓
52-Week Range$0
$0$0

TradingView lightweight chart

1431.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.280Periodo -89.2%
Fair value: $0.280

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+9.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

7.4%

FCF / Net income

0.37x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.73B · net income $552.5M · FCF $203.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

40.3%+15.3% pts

Operating margin

40.1%+19.3% pts

Net margin

20.2%+19.1% pts

FCF margin

7.4%+45.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.73B$2.73B$2.55B$2.21B$2.09B
Net Income$552.5M$552.5M$296.7M$-339.7M$22.8M
EBITDA$719.9M$719.9M$463.7M$-152.5M$154.8M
EPS0.120.120.06-0.070.00
Gross Margin40.3%40.3%37.0%26.7%25.0%
Operating Margin40.1%40.1%35.7%22.7%20.8%
Net Margin20.2%20.2%11.6%-15.4%1.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.110.110.180.330.19
Current Ratio0.960.96———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$203.4M$203.4M$123.8M$-395.8M$-787.8M
Returns
ROE9.8%9.8%5.9%-7.1%0.4%
Valuation
P/E2.002.002.34—48.78
EV/EBITDA1.841.842.12—9.65
P/B0.230.230.140.120.22
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth7.1%7.1%15.5%5.7%—
EPS Growth86.4%86.4%187.3%-1577.6%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-40.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.02

Spread vs growth

126.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-23.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.03

Spread vs growth

110.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

-8.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.05

Spread vs growth

94.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +16.7%

Total return

+16.7%

Start / end P/E

3.8x → 2.4x

EPS bridge

0.06 → 0.12

Residual

-32.3%

EPS growth+86.4%
Multiple rerating-37.4%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-32.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.