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v0.1
1449.HK$0.34+3.03%
Fair $0.34+0.0%

1449.HK

Leader Education Limited

Consumer Defensive / Education & Training ServicesHKSE

$0.34

+0.01 (+3.03%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.34Fund rank 23/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 40/C
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 15%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-62.2M · quality 32.3/100

Data gap 23/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 19/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

40/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -8.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 1449.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Leader Education Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$227M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

7.8x

↓

ROE

-8.6%

↓

Gross Margin

34.1%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.53

↑
52-Week Range$0
$0$0

TradingView lightweight chart

1449.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.340Periodo -81.6%
Fair value: $0.340

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+13.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-18.0%

FCF / Net income

0.84x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $345.0M · net income $-73.9M · FCF $-62.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

34.1%-8.4% pts

Operating margin

17.0%-10.0% pts

Net margin

-21.4%-44.9% pts

FCF margin

-18.0%-27.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$345.0M$345.0M$322.9M$275.8M$238.3M
Net Income$-73.9M$-73.9M$20.0M$57.6M$56.0M
EBITDA$161.1M$161.1M$143.0M$115.8M$104.8M
EPS——0.030.090.08
Gross Margin34.1%34.1%36.8%38.2%42.4%
Operating Margin17.0%17.0%24.5%23.6%27.0%
Net Margin-21.4%-21.4%6.2%20.9%23.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.531.531.311.020.94
Current Ratio0.700.70———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-62.2M$-62.2M$-136.2M$83.9M$22.8M
Returns
ROE-8.6%-8.6%2.2%6.3%6.1%
Valuation
P/E——8.295.093.45
EV/EBITDA7.807.807.268.207.60
P/B0.270.270.180.320.21
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth6.9%6.9%17.1%15.7%—
EPS Growth——-65.4%2.9%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +38.2%

Total return

+38.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.03 → n/d

Residual

+38.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+38.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.