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1468.TW$12.10+0.41%
Fair $12.10+0.0%

1468.TW

Chang-Ho Fibre Corporation

Consumer Cyclical / Textile ManufacturingTaiwan

$12.10

+0.05 (+0.41%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $12.10Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 33/D
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $71.5M · quality 45.3/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 33/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

33/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 2.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 1468.TWLocal privado en este navegador · Chang-Ho Fibre Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.9B

P/E

57.6x

↑

EV/EBITDA

30.2x

↑

ROE

2.4%

↓

Gross Margin

12.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.95

↑
52-Week Range$12
$11$15

TradingView lightweight chart

1468.TW price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $12.10Periodo -13.7%
Fair value: $12.10

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-16.3%

FCF CAGR

-17.9%

FCF margin

17.5%

FCF / Net income

4.29x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $827.4M · net income $33.7M · FCF $144.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

12.8%+11.5% pts

Operating margin

-0.7%+6.9% pts

Net margin

4.1%+1.5% pts

FCF margin

17.5%-1.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$827.4M$827.4M$1.08B$1.05B$1.41B
Net Income$33.7M$33.7M$151.3M$27.2M$37.0M
EBITDA$93.8M$93.8M$264.5M$138.2M$96.2M
EPS——0.940.170.23
Gross Margin12.8%12.8%16.3%7.3%1.3%
Operating Margin-0.7%-0.7%6.1%-4.8%-7.6%
Net Margin4.1%4.1%14.0%2.6%2.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.950.950.700.840.61
Current Ratio1.551.55———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$144.7M$144.7M$71.5M$-80.5M$261.3M
Returns
ROE2.4%2.4%11.0%2.3%3.1%
Valuation
P/E57.6257.6213.8890.0058.70
EV/EBITDA30.2430.2410.1023.8128.13
P/B1.371.371.522.051.81
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-23.3%-23.3%2.4%-25.5%—
EPS Growth——452.9%-26.1%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -14.5%

Total return

-14.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.94 → n/d

Residual

-14.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-14.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.