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1473.HK$1.70-8.60%
Fair $1.70+0.0%

1473.HK

Pangaea Connectivity Technology Limited

Technology / Communication EquipmentHKSE

$1.70

-0.16 (-8.60%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1.70Fund rank 20/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 48/C
F-Score: 8/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 14%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $31.3M · quality 25.7/100

Data gap 20/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 7/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

48/100

C

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 1473.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Pangaea Connectivity Technology Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.0B

P/E

56.7x

↑

EV/EBITDA

23.6x

↑

ROE

12.5%

↑

Gross Margin

10.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.26

↑
52-Week Range$2
$0$2

TradingView lightweight chart

1473.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1.700Periodo +139.4%
Fair value: $1.700

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+20.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

1.5%

FCF / Net income

1.03x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.13B · net income $30.5M · FCF $31.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

10.4%-2.3% pts

Operating margin

2.8%+1.4% pts

Net margin

1.4%+1.1% pts

FCF margin

1.5%+4.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.13B$2.13B$1.38B$1.20B$1.22B
Net Income$30.5M$30.5M$-29.3M$-31.4M$3.7M
EBITDA$81.3M$81.3M$6.0M$3.6M$35.1M
EPS0.030.03-0.03-0.030.00
Gross Margin10.4%10.4%8.5%10.8%12.7%
Operating Margin2.8%2.8%-0.7%-0.7%1.4%
Net Margin1.4%1.4%-2.1%-2.6%0.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.261.261.321.471.48
Current Ratio1.401.40———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$31.3M$31.3M$98.4M$-21.6M$-33.6M
Returns
ROE12.5%12.5%-13.4%-12.6%1.4%
Valuation
P/E56.6756.67——62.16
EV/EBITDA23.6423.6470.81144.5013.56
P/B6.896.890.910.880.84
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth53.8%53.8%15.5%-2.1%—
EPS Growth205.5%205.5%6.7%-948.6%—
Dividend Yield0.5%0.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

69.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.15

Spread vs growth

135.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

42.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.18

Spread vs growth

162.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

25.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.29

Spread vs growth

180.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +997.3%

Total return

+997.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.03 → 0.03

Residual

+996.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+996.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.