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1489.HK$0.51+2.00%
Fair $0.51+0.0%

1489.HK

GC Construction Holdings Limited

Industrials / Engineering & ConstructionHKSE

$0.51

+0.01 (+2.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.51Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 41/C
F-Score: 1/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-42.9M · quality 44.3/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 12/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

41/100

C

Piotroski

1/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. ROE is -19.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 1489.HKLocal privado en este navegador · GC Construction Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$510M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-19.6%

↓

Gross Margin

0.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.03

↓
52-Week Range$1
$0$1

TradingView lightweight chart

1489.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.510Periodo -7.3%
Fair value: $0.510

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+5.2%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-13.6%

FCF / Net income

1.35x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $530.7M · net income $-53.5M · FCF $-72.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

0.4%-12.2% pts

Operating margin

-3.8%-12.3% pts

Net margin

-10.1%-16.9% pts

FCF margin

-13.6%-16.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$530.7M$530.7M$585.2M$541.6M$456.4M
Net Income$-53.5M$-53.5M$19.1M$49.3M$31.3M
EBITDA$-50.8M$-50.8M$25.1M$58.9M$40.2M
EPS-0.05-0.050.020.060.03
Gross Margin0.4%0.4%7.2%12.1%12.6%
Operating Margin-3.8%-3.8%3.6%10.5%8.4%
Net Margin-10.1%-10.1%3.3%9.1%6.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.030.030.000.020.01
Current Ratio8.638.63———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-72.0M$-72.0M$-12.9M$-42.9M$13.5M
Returns
ROE-19.6%-19.6%5.9%16.1%22.0%
Valuation
P/E——26.058.95—
EV/EBITDA——18.476.81—
P/B1.871.871.521.44—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-9.3%-9.3%8.0%18.7%—
EPS Growth-378.9%-378.9%-66.7%82.1%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +9.7%

Total return

+9.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.02 → -0.05

Residual

+9.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+9.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.