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1499.HK$0.13-0.78%
Fair $0.13+0.0%

1499.HK

OKG Technology Holdings Limited

Industrials / Engineering & ConstructionHKSE

$0.13

-0.00 (-0.78%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.13Fund rank 18/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 8/F
F-Score: 7/9
High DebtLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 35% · confianza 10%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-12000.00 · quality 19.7/100

Data gap 18/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 5/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

8/100

F

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.66, above the 2.0 threshold ROE is -10.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 1499.HKLocal privado en este navegador · OKG Technology Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$687M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-10.6%

↓

Gross Margin

21.0%

↓

Debt/Equity

2.66

↑
52-Week Range$0
$0$1

TradingView lightweight chart

1499.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.128Periodo -16.1%
Fair value: $0.128

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+3.2%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

22.4%

FCF / Net income

-6.04x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $424.0M · net income $-15.8M · FCF $95.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

21.0%-0.9% pts

Operating margin

-4.5%+7.1% pts

Net margin

-3.7%+11.3% pts

FCF margin

22.4%+38.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$424.0M$424.0M$337.3M$344.9M$385.6M
Net Income$-15.8M$-15.8M$-40.3M$43.5M$-58.1M
EBITDA$-7.6M$-7.6M$-31.6M$77.2M$-34.1M
EPS-0.00-0.00-0.010.01-0.01
Gross Margin21.0%21.0%19.6%44.6%21.9%
Operating Margin-4.5%-4.5%-10.0%21.8%-11.7%
Net Margin-3.7%-3.7%-11.9%12.6%-15.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.662.665.932.703.68
Current Ratio1.721.72———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$95.1M$95.1M$-12000.00$-92.4M$-62.8M
Returns
ROE-10.6%-10.6%-24.3%21.2%-35.8%
Valuation
P/E———45.06—
EV/EBITDA———31.43—
P/B4.614.618.919.547.52
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth25.7%25.7%-2.2%-10.5%—
EPS Growth61.3%61.3%-192.6%175.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -12.9%

Total return

-12.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.01 → -0.00

Residual

-12.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-12.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.