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1515.HK$2.68-1.12%
Fair $2.68+0.0%

1515.HK

China Resources Medical Holdings Company Limited

Healthcare / Medical Care FacilitiesHKSE

$2.68

-0.03 (-1.12%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.68Fund rank 38/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 48/C
F-Score: 4/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $708.4M · quality 82.3/100

Data gap 38/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 77/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

48/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 1515.HKLocal privado en este navegador · China Resources Medical Holdings Company Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.4B

P/E

5.9x

↓

EV/EBITDA

2.4x

↓

ROE

7.6%

↑

Gross Margin

15.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.13

↓
52-Week Range$3
$2$5

TradingView lightweight chart

1515.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.650Periodo -73.5%
Fair value: $2.680

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+5.1%

FCF CAGR

+28.6%

FCF margin

9.2%

FCF / Net income

1.70x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $9.18B · net income $495.9M · FCF $844.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

15.7%-0.8% pts

Operating margin

5.0%-1.4% pts

Net margin

5.4%+2.0% pts

FCF margin

9.2%+4.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$9.18B$9.18B$9.85B$10.11B$7.90B
Net Income$495.9M$495.9M$565.9M$257.7M$265.9M
EBITDA$1.36B$1.36B$1.52B$1.22B$965.2M
EPS——0.450.200.21
Gross Margin15.7%15.7%18.4%18.9%16.5%
Operating Margin5.0%5.0%7.9%9.5%6.4%
Net Margin5.4%5.4%5.7%2.5%3.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.130.130.260.400.25
Current Ratio0.640.64———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$844.4M$844.4M$706.6M$708.4M$397.3M
Returns
ROE7.6%7.6%9.1%4.4%2.8%
Valuation
P/E5.895.898.7823.5526.81
EV/EBITDA2.392.393.705.776.64
P/B0.510.510.801.020.75
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-6.9%-6.9%-2.5%27.9%—
EPS Growth——125.0%-4.8%—
Dividend Yield5.6%5.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -26.8%

Total return

-26.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.45 → n/d

Residual

-32.4%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+5.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-32.4%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.