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151A.T$590.00-1.83%
Fair $590.00+0.0%

151A.T

151A.T

Industrials / ConglomeratesTokyo

$590.00

-11.00 (-1.83%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $590.00Fund rank 32/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 54/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $86.5M · quality 60.7/100

Data gap 32/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 40/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

54/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 151A.TLocal privado en este navegador · 151A.T
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.0B

P/E

10.6x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.6x

↓

ROE

20.0%

↑

Gross Margin

25.2%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.18

↓
52-Week Range$590
$572$1011

TradingView lightweight chart

151A.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $590.00Periodo -42.0%
Fair value: $590.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+50.9%

FCF CAGR

-16.7%

FCF margin

0.6%

FCF / Net income

0.19x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $13.78B · net income $454.6M · FCF $86.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

25.2%+2.0% pts

Operating margin

5.5%+7.6% pts

Net margin

3.3%+3.0% pts

FCF margin

0.6%-3.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$13.78B$13.78B$12.36B$8.27B$4.01B
Net Income$454.6M$454.6M$321.0M$168.3M$11.5M
EBITDA$750.9M$750.9M$613.1M$165.8M$58.6M
EPS52.1052.1038.0623.381.39
Gross Margin25.2%25.2%23.9%24.9%23.2%
Operating Margin5.5%5.5%4.4%1.5%-2.1%
Net Margin3.3%3.3%2.6%2.0%0.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.180.180.190.620.62
Current Ratio1.731.73———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$86.5M$86.5M$-25.3M$414.7M$149.5M
Returns
ROE20.0%20.0%16.9%17.5%1.2%
Valuation
P/E10.6410.6433.85——
EV/EBITDA4.654.6514.98——
P/B2.272.275.73——
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth11.5%11.5%49.6%106.2%—
EPS Growth36.9%36.9%62.8%1587.5%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

0.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$52.35

Spread vs growth

36.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

4.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$63.35

Spread vs growth

32.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

7.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$102.02

Spread vs growth

29.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -37.2%

Total return

-37.2%

Start / end P/E

24.7x → 11.3x

EPS bridge

38.06 → 52.10

Residual

-20.0%

EPS growth+36.9%
Multiple rerating-54.1%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-20.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.