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1528.HK$1.28+2.40%
Fair $1.28+0.0%

1528.HK

Red Star Macalline Group Corporation Ltd.

Real Estate / Real Estate ServicesHKSE

$1.28

+0.03 (+2.40%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1.28Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 11/F
F-Score: 4/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 0.0/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 41/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

11/100

F

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific NAV/AFFO model required: REIT/real-estate targets are disabled until FFO/AFFO/NAV/cap-rate data exists. REIT NAV/AFFO valuation requires positive AFFO/share history or TTM AFFO/share; generic FCF remains disabled. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -1.0%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 1528.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Red Star Macalline Group Corporation Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.6B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-101.0%

↓

Gross Margin

64.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.80

↑
52-Week Range$1
$1$2

TradingView lightweight chart

1528.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1.280Periodo -88.9%
Fair value: $1.280

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-22.5%

FCF CAGR

-42.5%

FCF margin

10.5%

FCF / Net income

-0.03x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $6.58B · net income $-24.09B · FCF $693.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

64.3%+1.7% pts

Operating margin

32.5%-6.7% pts

Net margin

-366.1%-370.9% pts

FCF margin

10.5%-15.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$6.58B$6.58B$7.82B$11.51B$14.14B
Net Income$-24.09B$-24.09B$-3.49B$-2.41B$678.6M
EBITDA$-26.19B$-26.19B$-1.55B$433.2M$4.47B
EPS-5.53-5.53-0.80-0.550.16
Gross Margin64.3%64.3%63.8%61.1%62.6%
Operating Margin32.5%32.5%32.7%33.4%39.2%
Net Margin-366.1%-366.1%-44.6%-21.0%4.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.801.800.650.740.70
Current Ratio0.220.22———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$693.1M$693.1M$146.5M$2.32B$3.64B
Returns
ROE-101.0%-101.0%-7.2%-4.7%1.2%
Valuation
P/E————16.69
EV/EBITDA———104.2210.56
P/B0.230.230.160.180.21
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-15.8%-15.8%-32.1%-18.6%—
EPS Growth-591.3%-591.3%-45.5%-443.8%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -3.8%

Total return

-3.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.80 → -5.53

Residual

-3.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-3.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.