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1539.TW$16.20-2.11%
Fair $16.20+0.0%

1539.TW

Chiu Ting Machinery Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Specialty Industrial MachineryTaiwan

$16.20

-0.35 (-2.11%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $16.20Fund rank 35/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 33/D
F-Score: 5/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 31% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $205.5M · quality 73.0/100

Data gap 35/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 59/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

33/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 0.9%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 1539.TWLocal privado en este navegador · Chiu Ting Machinery Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.1B

P/E

77.1x

↑

EV/EBITDA

12.1x

↑

ROE

0.9%

↓

Gross Margin

9.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.19

↓
52-Week Range$16
$15$22

TradingView lightweight chart

1539.TW price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $16.20Periodo -8.1%
Fair value: $16.20

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-19.5%

FCF CAGR

-62.3%

FCF margin

2.2%

FCF / Net income

2.09x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.30B · net income $13.6M · FCF $28.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

9.7%-2.1% pts

Operating margin

2.5%-5.0% pts

Net margin

1.0%-14.6% pts

FCF margin

2.2%-19.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.30B$1.30B$1.34B$1.53B$2.50B
Net Income$13.6M$13.6M$92.2M$63.0M$392.2M
EBITDA$72.6M$72.6M$175.2M$153.8M$542.6M
EPS——1.410.965.96
Gross Margin9.7%9.7%11.8%11.3%11.9%
Operating Margin2.5%2.5%4.3%5.2%7.4%
Net Margin1.0%1.0%6.9%4.1%15.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.190.190.210.370.46
Current Ratio2.602.60———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$28.4M$28.4M$241.1M$205.5M$531.8M
Returns
ROE0.9%0.9%5.6%4.0%23.3%
Valuation
P/E77.1477.1415.5325.004.92
EV/EBITDA12.0912.097.0010.383.91
P/B0.660.660.880.991.15
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-2.7%-2.7%-12.7%-38.7%—
EPS Growth——46.9%-83.9%—
Dividend Yield5.3%5.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -11.7%

Total return

-11.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

1.41 → n/d

Residual

-16.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+5.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-16.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.