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153A.T$1801.00-6.05%
Fair $1801.00+0.0%

153A.T

153A.T

Technology / Software - InfrastructureTokyo

$1801.00

-129.00 (-6.05%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1801.00Fund rank 37/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 62/B
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $265.9M · quality 75.7/100

Data gap 37/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 80/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

62/100

B

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 153A.TLocal privado en este navegador · 153A.T
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$11.3B

P/E

42.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

24.7x

↑

ROE

16.7%

↑

Gross Margin

58.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.06

↓
52-Week Range$1801
$958$2888

TradingView lightweight chart

153A.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2,004Periodo -32.2%
Fair value: $1,801

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+22.1%

FCF CAGR

-13.0%

FCF margin

10.0%

FCF / Net income

0.51x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.40B · net income $276.4M · FCF $140.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

58.3%-6.0% pts

Operating margin

29.1%+0.8% pts

Net margin

19.7%-12.7% pts

FCF margin

10.0%-17.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.40B$1.40B$1.23B$995.0M$769.5M
Net Income$276.4M$276.4M$276.3M$260.4M$250.0M
EBITDA$419.1M$419.1M$394.6M$302.3M$225.9M
EPS——44.6045.6343.80
Gross Margin58.3%58.3%63.2%61.7%64.4%
Operating Margin29.1%29.1%33.7%29.7%28.3%
Net Margin19.7%19.7%22.5%26.2%32.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.060.060.190.671.31
Current Ratio3.473.47———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$140.3M$140.3M$265.9M$299.6M$212.9M
Returns
ROE16.7%16.7%21.0%57.6%130.7%
Valuation
P/E41.9941.9931.79——
EV/EBITDA24.7424.7418.50——
P/B7.107.106.68——
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth14.3%14.3%23.1%29.3%—
EPS Growth——-2.2%4.2%—
Dividend Yield0.3%0.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +50.2%

Total return

+50.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

44.60 → n/d

Residual

+49.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+49.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.