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1556.HK$0.28+1.79%
Fair $0.28+0.0%

1556.HK

Chinney Kin Wing Holdings Limited

Industrials / Engineering & ConstructionHKSE

$0.28

+0.00 (+1.79%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.28Fund rank 38/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 47/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $207.6M · quality 79.0/100

Data gap 38/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 77/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

47/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 1556.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Chinney Kin Wing Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$428M

P/E

3.2x

↓

EV/EBITDA

-1.2x

↓

ROE

15.1%

↑

Gross Margin

21.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.02

↓
52-Week Range$0
$0$0

TradingView lightweight chart

1556.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.285Periodo -53.3%
Fair value: $0.285

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+8.0%

FCF CAGR

-10.9%

FCF margin

9.1%

FCF / Net income

1.56x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.27B · net income $133.1M · FCF $207.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

21.5%+5.4% pts

Operating margin

5.8%-0.5% pts

Net margin

5.9%+0.5% pts

FCF margin

9.1%-7.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.27B$2.27B$2.49B$2.12B$1.81B
Net Income$133.1M$133.1M$127.1M$120.5M$96.0M
EBITDA$236.5M$236.5M$228.6M$218.7M$189.5M
EPS0.090.090.080.080.06
Gross Margin21.5%21.5%14.7%16.0%16.0%
Operating Margin5.8%5.8%5.0%6.4%6.4%
Net Margin5.9%5.9%5.1%5.7%5.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.020.020.00——
Current Ratio1.371.37———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$207.6M$207.6M$275.4M$142.8M$293.4M
Returns
ROE15.1%15.1%15.8%16.5%14.7%
Valuation
P/E3.173.173.252.572.83
EV/EBITDA-1.24-1.24-0.65-1.18-0.98
P/B0.490.490.510.420.42
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-8.6%-8.6%17.1%17.5%—
EPS Growth4.8%4.8%5.5%25.5%—
Dividend Yield7.1%7.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-34.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.03

Spread vs growth

39.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-19.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.03

Spread vs growth

24.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

-5.7%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.05

Spread vs growth

10.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -5.2%

Total return

-5.2%

Start / end P/E

3.8x → 3.2x

EPS bridge

0.08 → 0.09

Residual

-0.8%

EPS growth+4.8%
Multiple rerating-16.4%
Dividend+7.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.