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v0.1
1560.HK$0.12+0.00%
Fair $0.12+0.0%

1560.HK

Star Group Asia Limited

Industrials / ConglomeratesHKSE

$0.12

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.12Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 33/D
F-Score: 3/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $845.1M · quality 30.3/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 29/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

33/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is -74.0%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 1560.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Star Group Asia Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$79M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-74.0%

↓

Gross Margin

-24.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.64

↑
52-Week Range$0
$0$0

TradingView lightweight chart

1560.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.123Periodo -85.6%
Fair value: $0.123

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+143.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

90.3%

FCF / Net income

-1.69x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.13B · net income $-605.0M · FCF $1.02B

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

-24.4%-104.4% pts

Operating margin

-37.9%+11.8% pts

Net margin

-53.4%-6.1% pts

FCF margin

90.3%+1203.5% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$1.13B$1.13B$1.24B$1.70B$78.4M
Net Income$-605.0M$-605.0M$-294.6M$329.9M$-37.1M
EBITDA$-464.6M$-464.6M$-204.5M$396.4M$-13.2M
EPS-0.94-0.94-0.460.24-0.06
Gross Margin-24.4%-24.4%-0.0%35.9%79.9%
Operating Margin-37.9%-37.9%-12.7%22.1%-49.7%
Net Margin-53.4%-53.4%-23.7%19.4%-47.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.641.641.591.672.43
Current Ratio1.061.06———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.02B$1.02B$845.1M$802.1M$-873.1M
Returns
ROE-74.0%-74.0%-20.6%19.1%-2.7%
Valuation
P/E———1.62—
EV/EBITDA———8.61—
P/B0.100.100.100.340.20
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-8.9%-8.9%-26.8%2066.5%—
EPS Growth-105.4%-105.4%-288.2%521.4%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +23.0%

Total return

+23.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.46 → -0.94

Residual

+23.0%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+23.0%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.