StockAnalyzer

Financial Analysis

DashboardSectorsComparablesScreenerUniverseMicrocapsAI 2nd OrderTheme MapEnergy & MaterialsMacroWatchlistCompareMi CarteraPortfolio

Recent

v0.1
1581.HK$0.37-1.33%
Fair $0.37+0.0%

1581.HK

Progressive Path Group Holdings Limited

Industrials / Rental & Leasing ServicesHKSE

$0.37

-0.00 (-1.33%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.37Fund rank 36/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 71/B
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $75.8M · quality 77.0/100

Data gap 36/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 76/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

71/100

B

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 1581.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Progressive Path Group Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$154M

P/E

6.2x

↓

EV/EBITDA

1.7x

↓

ROE

11.7%

↑

Gross Margin

6.9%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.40

↑
52-Week Range$0
$0$1

TradingView lightweight chart

1581.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.370Periodo -86.9%
Fair value: $0.370

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+21.0%

FCF CAGR

+32.1%

FCF margin

8.3%

FCF / Net income

2.22x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $913.8M · net income $34.1M · FCF $75.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

6.9%+0.4% pts

Operating margin

3.8%+1.3% pts

Net margin

3.7%+1.4% pts

FCF margin

8.3%+1.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$913.8M$913.8M$728.5M$511.0M$515.9M
Net Income$34.1M$34.1M$22.2M$-22.0M$12.1M
EBITDA$138.2M$138.2M$140.8M$86.9M$90.9M
EPS0.080.080.05-0.070.05
Gross Margin6.9%6.9%7.9%0.7%6.5%
Operating Margin3.8%3.8%4.7%-3.2%2.5%
Net Margin3.7%3.7%3.1%-4.3%2.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.400.400.730.910.89
Current Ratio1.731.73———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$75.8M$75.8M$88.5M$37.5M$32.8M
Returns
ROE11.7%11.7%8.7%-9.4%5.9%
Valuation
P/E6.176.172.22—6.44
EV/EBITDA1.741.741.472.882.67
P/B0.530.530.190.280.38
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth25.4%25.4%42.6%-1.0%—
EPS Growth53.4%53.4%179.3%-225.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-26.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.03

Spread vs growth

79.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-13.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.04

Spread vs growth

66.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

-2.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.06

Spread vs growth

55.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +224.6%

Total return

+224.6%

Start / end P/E

2.1x → 4.5x

EPS bridge

0.05 → 0.08

Residual

+59.6%

EPS growth+53.4%
Multiple rerating+111.6%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+59.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.