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1582.HK$0.41-2.35%
Fair $0.41+0.0%

1582.HK

CR Construction Group Holdings Limited

Industrials / Engineering & ConstructionHKSE

$0.41

-0.01 (-2.35%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.41Fund rank 22/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 49/C
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-49.7M · quality 33.7/100

Data gap 22/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 10/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

49/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 1582.HKLocal privado en este navegador · CR Construction Group Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$208M

P/E

5.2x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.3x

↓

ROE

5.4%

↓

Gross Margin

5.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.96

↑
52-Week Range$0
$0$1

TradingView lightweight chart

1582.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.415Periodo -63.9%
Fair value: $0.415

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+10.2%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-0.6%

FCF / Net income

-1.27x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $8.57B · net income $39.2M · FCF $-49.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

5.7%+1.7% pts

Operating margin

3.5%+2.0% pts

Net margin

0.5%-0.7% pts

FCF margin

-0.6%-0.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$8.57B$8.57B$6.07B$5.45B$6.41B
Net Income$39.2M$39.2M$53.7M$71.9M$72.1M
EBITDA$158.9M$158.9M$180.9M$171.0M$136.5M
EPS——0.110.140.14
Gross Margin5.7%5.7%5.8%5.6%4.0%
Operating Margin3.5%3.5%3.0%2.4%1.5%
Net Margin0.5%0.5%0.9%1.3%1.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.960.961.011.170.32
Current Ratio1.111.11———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-49.7M$-49.7M$246.5M$-107.0M$19.2M
Returns
ROE5.4%5.4%8.2%11.6%8.8%
Valuation
P/E5.195.194.383.483.68
EV/EBITDA4.334.333.154.342.72
P/B0.290.290.360.400.32
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth41.3%41.3%11.4%-15.0%—
EPS Growth——-25.3%-0.3%—
Dividend Yield8.5%8.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +8.5%

Total return

+8.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.11 → n/d

Residual

+0.0%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+8.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.0%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.