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1586.HK$1.50+0.00%
Fair $1.50+0.0%

1586.HK

China Leon Inspection Holding Limited

Industrials / Specialty Business ServicesHKSE

$1.50

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1.50Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 39/D
F-Score: 3/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 26% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $93.6M · quality 61.0/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 51/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

39/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 1586.HKLocal privado en este navegador · China Leon Inspection Holding Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$839M

P/E

21.4x

↑

EV/EBITDA

4.9x

↓

ROE

8.6%

↑

Gross Margin

33.8%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.47

↑
52-Week Range$2
$1$3

TradingView lightweight chart

1586.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1.500Periodo +117.4%
Fair value: $1.500

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+12.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-2.2%

FCF / Net income

-0.78x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.34B · net income $38.7M · FCF $-30.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

33.8%-9.5% pts

Operating margin

10.3%-7.1% pts

Net margin

2.9%-4.5% pts

FCF margin

-2.2%-15.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.34B$1.34B$1.26B$1.12B$944.0M
Net Income$38.7M$38.7M$82.7M$80.0M$69.4M
EBITDA$177.0M$177.0M$238.9M$227.9M$201.1M
EPS0.070.070.140.140.10
Gross Margin33.8%33.8%40.8%42.9%43.4%
Operating Margin10.3%10.3%16.5%18.1%17.4%
Net Margin2.9%2.9%6.5%7.2%7.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.470.470.270.370.34
Current Ratio1.911.91———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-30.1M$-30.1M$136.6M$93.6M$126.7M
Returns
ROE8.6%8.6%17.7%18.9%18.3%
Valuation
P/E21.4321.4315.7010.9011.62
EV/EBITDA4.924.924.713.363.13
P/B1.991.992.782.061.94
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth6.2%6.2%12.9%18.5%—
EPS Growth-52.5%-52.5%3.8%36.4%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

25.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.13

Spread vs growth

-78.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

19.0%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.16

Spread vs growth

-71.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

14.4%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.26

Spread vs growth

-67.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -39.8%

Total return

-39.8%

Start / end P/E

17.5x → 22.3x

EPS bridge

0.14 → 0.07

Residual

-14.1%

EPS growth-52.5%
Multiple rerating+26.9%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-14.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.