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1593.HK$1.23+0.00%
Fair $1.23+0.0%

1593.HK

Chen Lin Education Group Holdings Limited

Consumer Defensive / Education & Training ServicesHKSE

$1.23

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1.23Fund rank 17/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 11/F
F-Score: 3/9
High DebtLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 35% · confianza 11%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-407.9M · quality 25.0/100

Data gap 17/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 12/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

11/100

F

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 5.70, above the 2.0 threshold ROE is -93.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 1593.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Chen Lin Education Group Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.2B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-93.7%

↓

Gross Margin

27.7%

↑

Debt/Equity

5.70

↑
52-Week Range$1
$1$3

TradingView lightweight chart

1593.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1.230Periodo -40.3%
Fair value: $1.230

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+5.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-6.8%

FCF / Net income

0.10x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $600.7M · net income $-412.0M · FCF $-40.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

27.7%-7.8% pts

Operating margin

6.0%-9.1% pts

Net margin

-68.6%-61.2% pts

FCF margin

-6.8%+16.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$600.7M$600.7M$599.5M$563.3M$515.0M
Net Income$-412.0M$-412.0M$15.4M$33.7M$-38.0M
EBITDA$-152.8M$-152.8M$249.5M$224.6M$131.1M
EPS——0.020.03-0.04
Gross Margin27.7%27.7%31.4%40.6%35.5%
Operating Margin6.0%6.0%10.9%20.3%15.1%
Net Margin-68.6%-68.6%2.6%6.0%-7.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity5.705.702.902.541.79
Current Ratio0.100.10———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-40.6M$-40.6M$-407.9M$-551.7M$-120.5M
Returns
ROE-93.7%-93.7%1.8%4.0%-4.7%
Valuation
P/E——73.5065.00—
EV/EBITDA——14.6616.4624.06
P/B2.782.781.682.272.45
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth0.2%0.2%6.4%9.4%—
EPS Growth——-33.3%175.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -4.7%

Total return

-4.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.02 → n/d

Residual

-4.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-4.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.