StockAnalyzer

Financial Analysis

DashboardSectorsComparablesScreenerUniverseMicrocapsAI 2nd OrderTheme MapEnergy & MaterialsMacroWatchlistCompareMi CarteraPortfolio

Recent

v0.1
1596.HK$0.59+3.51%
Fair $0.59+0.0%

1596.HK

Hebei Yichen Industrial Group Corporation Limited

Industrials / RailroadsHKSE

$0.59

+0.02 (+3.51%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.59Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 49/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $99.0M · quality 54.0/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 25/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

49/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 1596.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Hebei Yichen Industrial Group Corporation Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$523M

P/E

1.6x

↓

EV/EBITDA

1.9x

↓

ROE

10.7%

↑

Gross Margin

35.1%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.24

↓
52-Week Range$1
$1$3

TradingView lightweight chart

1596.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.590Periodo -79.5%
Fair value: $0.590

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+9.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

14.0%

FCF / Net income

0.82x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.67B · net income $284.4M · FCF $233.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

35.1%+11.0% pts

Operating margin

23.2%+11.3% pts

Net margin

17.1%+4.3% pts

FCF margin

14.0%+32.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.67B$1.67B$1.09B$1.20B$1.26B
Net Income$284.4M$284.4M$-50.8M$49.4M$161.0M
EBITDA$415.9M$415.9M$21.1M$123.9M$246.7M
EPS0.320.32-0.060.060.18
Gross Margin35.1%35.1%23.2%24.4%24.0%
Operating Margin23.2%23.2%9.4%11.4%12.0%
Net Margin17.1%17.1%-4.7%4.1%12.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.240.240.280.220.27
Current Ratio2.822.82———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$233.1M$233.1M$-66.7M$99.0M$-233.1M
Returns
ROE10.7%10.7%-2.1%2.0%6.5%
Valuation
P/E1.591.59—65.8325.00
EV/EBITDA1.941.94134.0731.9118.72
P/B0.200.200.981.441.64
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth52.8%52.8%-8.8%-4.9%—
EPS Growth633.3%633.3%-200.0%-66.7%—
Dividend Yield2.1%2.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-45.3%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.05

Spread vs growth

678.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-27.7%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.06

Spread vs growth

661.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

-10.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.10

Spread vs growth

644.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -71.2%

Total return

-71.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.06 → 0.32

Residual

-73.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+2.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-73.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.