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1617.HK$0.52+0.00%
Fair $0.52+0.0%

1617.HK

Nanfang Communication Holdings Limited

Technology / Communication EquipmentHKSE

$0.52

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.52Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 45/C
F-Score: 5/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-68.1M · quality 45.7/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 13/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

45/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. ROE is 3.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 1617.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Nanfang Communication Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$846M

P/E

26.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

14.3x

↑

ROE

3.6%

↓

Gross Margin

22.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.21

↓
52-Week Range$1
$0$1

TradingView lightweight chart

1617.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.520Periodo -70.1%
Fair value: $0.520

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-9.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

12.4%

FCF / Net income

1.89x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $464.2M · net income $30.4M · FCF $57.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

22.4%+13.3% pts

Operating margin

4.1%+9.8% pts

Net margin

6.5%+7.8% pts

FCF margin

12.4%+14.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$464.2M$464.2M$538.1M$522.3M$633.7M
Net Income$30.4M$30.4M$39.9M$5.2M$-8.1M
EBITDA$53.3M$53.3M$57.8M$12.1M$14.5M
EPS——0.030.00-0.01
Gross Margin22.4%22.4%18.3%13.5%9.1%
Operating Margin4.1%4.1%5.1%-1.3%-5.6%
Net Margin6.5%6.5%7.4%1.0%-1.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.210.210.440.400.38
Current Ratio2.262.26———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$57.3M$57.3M$-70.7M$-68.1M$-15.2M
Returns
ROE3.6%3.6%4.9%0.7%-1.0%
Valuation
P/E26.0026.003.6030.33—
EV/EBITDA14.3214.325.2917.3616.60
P/B1.001.000.180.190.22
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-13.7%-13.7%3.0%-17.6%—
EPS Growth——733.3%130.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +504.7%

Total return

+504.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.03 → n/d

Residual

+504.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+504.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.