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v0.1
1620.HK$0.12+14.71%
Fair $0.12+0.0%

1620.HK

Cinese International Group Holdings Limited

Consumer Cyclical / Travel ServicesHKSE

$0.12

+0.02 (+14.71%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.12Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 52/C
F-Score: 4/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-4.9M · quality 48.3/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 13/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

52/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 1620.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Cinese International Group Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$140M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

37.0x

↑

ROE

96.7%

↑

Gross Margin

19.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.11

↓
52-Week Range$0
$0$0

TradingView lightweight chart

1620.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.117Periodo -67.0%
Fair value: $0.117

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+10.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-7.9%

FCF / Net income

-0.45x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $62.4M · net income $11.0M · FCF $-4.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

19.4%-29.9% pts

Operating margin

5.1%+45.0% pts

Net margin

17.6%+47.8% pts

FCF margin

-7.9%+16.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$62.4M$62.4M$63.5M$103.5M$45.8M
Net Income$11.0M$11.0M$-44.5M$2.9M$-13.8M
EBITDA$3.7M$3.7M$4.1M$8.1M$-10.8M
EPS——-0.040.00-0.01
Gross Margin19.4%19.4%20.1%42.7%49.2%
Operating Margin5.1%5.1%5.0%6.4%-39.9%
Net Margin17.6%17.6%-70.1%2.8%-30.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.110.116.740.140.17
Current Ratio1.261.26———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-4.9M$-4.9M$3.1M$-24.9M$-11.3M
Returns
ROE96.7%96.7%-7970.4%5.8%-28.9%
Valuation
P/E———30.50—
EV/EBITDA37.0237.0210.586.69—
P/B12.3612.36124.731.463.16
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-1.7%-1.7%-38.7%126.1%—
EPS Growth——-1955.0%116.7%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +125.0%

Total return

+125.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.04 → n/d

Residual

+125.0%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+125.0%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.