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v0.1
1623.HK$0.21+0.00%
Fair $0.21+0.0%

1623.HK

Hilong Holding Limited

Energy / Oil & Gas Equipment & ServicesHKSEHK

$0.21

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.21Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 43/C
F-Score: 5/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 27% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $143.2M · quality 51.3/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 45/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

43/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. ROE is -10.9%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 1623.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Hilong Holding Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$346M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

5.2x

↓

ROE

-10.9%

↓

Gross Margin

24.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.80

↑
52-Week Range$0
$0$0

TradingView lightweight chart

1623.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.210Periodo -92.3%
Fair value: $0.210

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+16.6%

FCF CAGR

-4.1%

FCF margin

4.9%

FCF / Net income

-0.75x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $4.88B · net income $-323.6M · FCF $241.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

24.6%+2.3% pts

Operating margin

6.5%-2.8% pts

Net margin

-6.6%-10.1% pts

FCF margin

4.9%-3.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$4.88B$4.88B$4.67B$4.25B$3.07B
Net Income$-323.6M$-323.6M$28.3M$148.7M$105.6M
EBITDA$377.0M$377.0M$630.2M$825.9M$589.5M
EPS-0.19-0.190.020.090.06
Gross Margin24.6%24.6%24.0%21.5%22.3%
Operating Margin6.5%6.5%9.4%8.6%9.3%
Net Margin-6.6%-6.6%0.6%3.5%3.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.800.800.830.871.01
Current Ratio1.311.31———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$241.2M$241.2M$143.2M$-41.2M$273.2M
Returns
ROE-10.9%-10.9%0.9%4.5%3.2%
Valuation
P/E——6.772.734.74
EV/EBITDA5.175.173.472.985.15
P/B0.120.120.060.120.15
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth4.4%4.4%9.8%38.4%—
EPS Growth-1253.3%-1253.3%-80.9%40.8%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +85.8%

Total return

+85.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.02 → -0.19

Residual

+85.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+85.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.