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1645.HK$2.53+7.20%
Fair $2.53+0.0%

1645.HK

Haina Intelligent Equipment International Holdings Limited

Industrials / Specialty Industrial MachineryHKSE

$2.53

+0.17 (+7.20%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.53Fund rank 22/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 33/D
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 15%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-67.4M · quality 30.7/100

Data gap 22/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 14/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

33/100

D

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 1645.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Haina Intelligent Equipment International Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.4B

P/E

63.3x

↑

EV/EBITDA

41.5x

↑

ROE

7.6%

↑

Gross Margin

23.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.25

↑
52-Week Range$3
$1$4

TradingView lightweight chart

1645.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.530Periodo +110.8%
Fair value: $2.530

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+7.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-11.2%

FCF / Net income

-2.52x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $490.8M · net income $21.8M · FCF $-54.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

23.3%+7.2% pts

Operating margin

3.0%+2.5% pts

Net margin

4.4%+5.2% pts

FCF margin

-11.2%-12.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$490.8M$490.8M$369.7M$350.7M$397.8M
Net Income$21.8M$21.8M$-38.1M$-35.8M$-3.1M
EBITDA$42.1M$42.1M$-19.4M$-18.3M$12.9M
EPS——-0.07-0.06-0.01
Gross Margin23.3%23.3%14.1%13.2%16.1%
Operating Margin3.0%3.0%-8.3%-5.6%0.5%
Net Margin4.4%4.4%-10.3%-10.2%-0.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.251.251.090.310.12
Current Ratio0.660.66———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-54.9M$-54.9M$-236.1M$-67.4M$4.6M
Returns
ROE7.6%7.6%-14.3%-11.8%-0.9%
Valuation
P/E63.2563.25———
EV/EBITDA41.4741.47——42.75
P/B5.005.002.352.231.77
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth32.8%32.8%5.4%-11.8%—
EPS Growth——-6.5%-1033.9%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +153.0%

Total return

+153.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.07 → n/d

Residual

+153.0%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+153.0%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.