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v0.1
1716.HK$7.58+2.16%
Fair $7.58+0.0%

1716.HK

Most Kwai Chung Limited

Communication Services / Advertising AgenciesHKSE

$7.58

+0.16 (+2.16%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $7.58Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 55/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 23%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-10.9M · quality 65.7/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 31/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

55/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 1716.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Most Kwai Chung Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.0B

P/E

758.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

219.1x

↑

ROE

11.9%

↑

Gross Margin

46.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.02

↓
52-Week Range$8
$0$10

TradingView lightweight chart

1716.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $7.580Periodo +18.8%
Fair value: $7.580

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+11.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-0.4%

FCF / Net income

-0.05x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $93.6M · net income $6.1M · FCF $-334000.0

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

46.3%+31.6% pts

Operating margin

4.0%+31.0% pts

Net margin

6.5%+30.6% pts

FCF margin

-0.4%+21.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$93.6M$93.6M$55.2M$39.6M$67.8M
Net Income$6.1M$6.1M$-9.2M$-20.4M$-16.3M
EBITDA$9.1M$9.1M$-7.5M$-18.9M$-16.3M
EPS0.020.02-0.03-0.08-0.06
Gross Margin46.3%46.3%36.2%24.0%14.7%
Operating Margin4.0%4.0%-18.7%-39.6%-27.0%
Net Margin6.5%6.5%-16.7%-51.5%-24.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.020.020.030.030.02
Current Ratio3.823.82———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-334000.00$-334000.00$-10.9M$-13.7M$-14.7M
Returns
ROE11.9%11.9%-20.2%-36.6%-21.5%
Valuation
P/E758.00758.00———
EV/EBITDA219.10219.10———
P/B39.6339.632.193.831.46
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth69.6%69.6%39.4%-41.6%—
EPS Growth166.6%166.6%54.8%-24.8%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

209.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.67

Spread vs growth

-42.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

104.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.81

Spread vs growth

62.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

50.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.31

Spread vs growth

116.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +1921.3%

Total return

+1921.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.03 → 0.02

Residual

+1921.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+1921.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.