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1718.T$7020.00+2.89%
Fair $7020.00+0.0%

1718.T

Mikikogyo Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Engineering & ConstructionTokyo

$7020.00

+200.00 (+2.89%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $7020.00Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 49/C
F-Score: 3/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-2.3B · quality 39.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 9/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

49/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 1718.TLocal privado en este navegador · Mikikogyo Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$7.5B

P/E

4.9x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.8x

↓

ROE

9.1%

↑

Gross Margin

22.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.62

↑
52-Week Range$7020
$5430$9970

TradingView lightweight chart

1718.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $7,110Periodo +153.9%
Fair value: $7,020

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+5.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-7.4%

FCF / Net income

-1.70x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $36.15B · net income $1.57B · FCF $-2.68B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

22.1%+3.2% pts

Operating margin

7.1%+3.6% pts

Net margin

4.3%+2.0% pts

FCF margin

-7.4%-10.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$36.15B$36.15B$27.29B$32.20B$30.76B
Net Income$1.57B$1.57B$658.2M$839.5M$734.7M
EBITDA$3.22B$3.22B$1.68B$1.86B$1.81B
EPS——602.24767.98672.07
Gross Margin22.1%22.1%22.6%18.4%18.8%
Operating Margin7.1%7.1%4.2%4.1%3.6%
Net Margin4.3%4.3%2.4%2.6%2.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.620.620.460.400.32
Current Ratio1.541.54———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-2.68B$-2.68B$452.7M$-2.30B$967.8M
Returns
ROE9.1%9.1%4.2%5.5%5.0%
Valuation
P/E4.884.887.876.125.71
EV/EBITDA4.834.835.855.063.30
P/B0.450.450.330.340.29
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth32.5%32.5%-15.3%4.7%—
EPS Growth——-21.6%14.3%—
Dividend Yield4.2%4.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +31.2%

Total return

+31.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

602.24 → n/d

Residual

+27.0%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+4.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+27.0%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.