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v0.1
1736.T$2289.00-0.22%
Fair $2289.00+0.0%

1736.T

Otec Corporation

Industrials / Industrial DistributionTokyo

$2289.00

-5.00 (-0.22%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2289.00Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 67/B
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $2.4B · quality 61.3/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 50/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

67/100

B

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 1736.TLocal privado en este navegador · Otec Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$35.5B

P/E

9.8x

↓

EV/EBITDA

6.2x

↓

ROE

12.8%

↑

Gross Margin

29.2%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.09

↓
52-Week Range$2289
$1293$2792

TradingView lightweight chart

1736.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2,289Periodo +2189.0%
Fair value: $2,289

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+7.3%

FCF CAGR

+81.5%

FCF margin

8.9%

FCF / Net income

0.98x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $31.42B · net income $2.87B · FCF $2.81B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

29.2%+5.7% pts

Operating margin

12.8%+5.2% pts

Net margin

9.1%+3.8% pts

FCF margin

8.9%+7.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$31.42B$31.42B$29.37B$26.14B$25.41B
Net Income$2.87B$2.87B$1.39B$1.25B$1.35B
EBITDA$4.64B$4.64B$2.46B$2.39B$2.41B
EPS186.10186.1090.4179.5985.71
Gross Margin29.2%29.2%25.2%23.5%23.5%
Operating Margin12.8%12.8%6.9%7.5%7.6%
Net Margin9.1%9.1%4.7%4.8%5.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.090.090.100.090.10
Current Ratio2.422.42———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$2.81B$2.81B$2.43B$154.5M$469.9M
Returns
ROE12.8%12.8%7.0%6.9%7.7%
Valuation
P/E9.789.7813.888.998.25
EV/EBITDA6.176.175.833.192.73
P/B1.581.580.970.620.64
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth7.0%7.0%12.4%2.9%—
EPS Growth105.8%105.8%13.6%-7.1%—
Dividend Yield4.3%4.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

3.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$203.11

Spread vs growth

102.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

5.7%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$245.76

Spread vs growth

100.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

7.8%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$395.81

Spread vs growth

98.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +78.2%

Total return

+78.2%

Start / end P/E

14.6x → 12.3x

EPS bridge

90.41 → 186.10

Residual

-16.4%

EPS growth+105.8%
Multiple rerating-15.5%
Dividend+4.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-16.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.