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1773.HK$1.47+0.00%
Fair $1.47+0.0%

1773.HK

Tianli International Holdings Limited

Consumer Defensive / Education & Training ServicesHKSE

$1.47

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1.47Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 48/C
F-Score: 8/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 27% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $420.3M · quality 41.0/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 36/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

48/100

C

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 1773.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Tianli International Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.0B

P/E

3.6x

↓

EV/EBITDA

3.8x

↓

ROE

22.3%

↑

Gross Margin

33.8%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.92

↑
52-Week Range$1
$1$5

TradingView lightweight chart

1773.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1.470Periodo -53.9%
Fair value: $1.470

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+59.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

12.5%

FCF / Net income

0.68x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $3.59B · net income $664.3M · FCF $449.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

33.8%+0.6% pts

Operating margin

24.9%+8.1% pts

Net margin

18.5%+7.6% pts

FCF margin

12.5%+31.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$3.59B$3.59B$3.32B$2.30B$884.4M
Net Income$664.3M$664.3M$576.0M$337.0M$96.5M
EBITDA$1.26B$1.26B$1.10B$708.9M$285.7M
EPS0.320.320.270.160.05
Gross Margin33.8%33.8%33.7%33.8%33.2%
Operating Margin24.9%24.9%24.1%22.0%16.8%
Net Margin18.5%18.5%17.3%14.6%10.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.920.921.020.920.71
Current Ratio0.420.42———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$449.0M$449.0M$420.3M$375.9M$-164.0M
Returns
ROE22.3%22.3%23.3%16.3%5.2%
Valuation
P/E3.593.5916.3415.1631.58
EV/EBITDA3.853.859.677.7212.04
P/B1.031.033.812.441.65
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth8.1%8.1%44.2%160.4%—
EPS Growth17.0%17.0%71.3%248.7%—
Dividend Yield7.1%7.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-25.7%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.13

Spread vs growth

42.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-13.1%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.16

Spread vs growth

30.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

-2.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.25

Spread vs growth

19.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -52.4%

Total return

-52.4%

Start / end P/E

13.3x → 4.6x

EPS bridge

0.27 → 0.32

Residual

-11.1%

EPS growth+17.0%
Multiple rerating-65.4%
Dividend+7.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-11.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.