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1811.T$7510.00-6.59%
Fair $7510.00+0.0%

1811.T

The Zenitaka Corporation

Industrials / Engineering & ConstructionTokyo

$7510.00

-530.00 (-6.59%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $7510.00Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 49/C
F-Score: 4/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 22%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-16.3B · quality 63.3/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 28/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

49/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 3.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 1811.TLocal privado en este navegador · The Zenitaka Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$53.8B

P/E

12.6x

↓

EV/EBITDA

13.1x

↑

ROE

3.6%

↓

Gross Margin

8.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.38

↑
52-Week Range$7510
$4085$9820

TradingView lightweight chart

1811.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $7,510Periodo +143.8%
Fair value: $7,510

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+5.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-6.7%

FCF / Net income

-2.30x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $120.66B · net income $3.50B · FCF $-8.07B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

8.5%+0.2% pts

Operating margin

3.1%+0.9% pts

Net margin

2.9%+1.1% pts

FCF margin

-6.7%+7.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$120.66B$120.66B$120.98B$107.63B$101.90B
Net Income$3.50B$3.50B$2.74B$2.25B$1.81B
EBITDA$5.97B$5.97B$4.66B$3.68B$3.92B
EPS489.39489.39382.28313.55253.00
Gross Margin8.5%8.5%7.9%6.8%8.2%
Operating Margin3.1%3.1%2.7%1.4%2.2%
Net Margin2.9%2.9%2.3%2.1%1.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.380.380.360.170.18
Current Ratio1.371.37———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-8.07B$-8.07B$-22.97B$-16.25B$-14.24B
Returns
ROE3.6%3.6%2.9%2.8%2.4%
Valuation
P/E12.6412.6410.979.4815.45
EV/EBITDA13.0913.099.894.702.05
P/B0.560.560.320.270.38
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-0.3%-0.3%12.4%5.6%—
EPS Growth28.0%28.0%21.9%23.9%—
Dividend Yield1.5%1.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

10.8%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$666.39

Spread vs growth

17.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

10.5%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$806.33

Spread vs growth

17.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

10.3%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$1298.60

Spread vs growth

17.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +79.0%

Total return

+79.0%

Start / end P/E

11.1x → 15.3x

EPS bridge

382.28 → 489.39

Residual

+10.8%

EPS growth+28.0%
Multiple rerating+38.7%
Dividend+1.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+10.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.