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v0.1
1815.HK$0.85+3.66%
Fair $0.85+0.0%

1815.HK

Mount Everest Gold Group Company Limited

Consumer Cyclical / Luxury GoodsHKSE

$0.85

+0.03 (+3.66%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.85Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 44/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $24.0M · quality 46.3/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 20/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

44/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 1815.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Mount Everest Gold Group Company Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.2B

P/E

14.2x

↓

EV/EBITDA

5.4x

↓

ROE

6.8%

↑

Gross Margin

43.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.08

↓
52-Week Range$1
$1$3

TradingView lightweight chart

1815.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.850Periodo -64.4%
Fair value: $0.850

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-35.2%

FCF CAGR

+22.6%

FCF margin

27.8%

FCF / Net income

1.32x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $487.0M · net income $102.8M · FCF $135.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

43.3%+40.3% pts

Operating margin

20.9%+22.4% pts

Net margin

21.1%+22.5% pts

FCF margin

27.8%+23.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$487.0M$487.0M$157.6M$410.5M$1.79B
Net Income$102.8M$102.8M$-23.2M$-35.0M$-25.6M
EBITDA$106.5M$106.5M$17.3M$-5.4M$-19.5M
EPS——-0.02-0.03-0.02
Gross Margin43.3%43.3%30.7%9.0%2.9%
Operating Margin20.9%20.9%5.8%-2.4%-1.5%
Net Margin21.1%21.1%-14.7%-8.5%-1.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.080.080.070.070.07
Current Ratio4.724.72———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$135.6M$135.6M$24.0M$-57.9M$73.6M
Returns
ROE6.8%6.8%-1.8%-2.6%-1.9%
Valuation
P/E14.1714.17———
EV/EBITDA5.445.44-5.97——
P/B0.710.710.180.230.45
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth209.0%209.0%-61.6%-77.1%—
EPS Growth——32.1%-33.3%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -56.4%

Total return

-56.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.02 → n/d

Residual

-56.4%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-56.4%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.