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1820.T$5199.00-2.53%
Fair $5199.00+0.0%

1820.T

Nishimatsu Construction Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Engineering & ConstructionTokyo

$5199.00

-135.00 (-2.53%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $5199.00Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 31/D
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $8.7B · quality 34.0/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 27/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

31/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 1820.TLocal privado en este navegador · Nishimatsu Construction Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$205.3B

P/E

8.5x

↓

EV/EBITDA

12.3x

↑

ROE

10.2%

↑

Gross Margin

12.0%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.24

↑
52-Week Range$5199
$4737$6891

TradingView lightweight chart

1820.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $5,199Periodo +166.6%
Fair value: $5,199

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+4.2%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-5.0%

FCF / Net income

-1.04x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $366.81B · net income $17.54B · FCF $-18.17B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

12.0%-1.5% pts

Operating margin

5.8%-1.5% pts

Net margin

4.8%+0.1% pts

FCF margin

-5.0%-8.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$366.81B$366.81B$401.63B$339.76B$323.75B
Net Income$17.54B$17.54B$12.39B$9.65B$15.10B
EBITDA$30.57B$30.57B$23.72B$18.28B$27.01B
EPS——313.86244.43312.34
Gross Margin12.0%12.0%10.2%9.9%13.5%
Operating Margin5.8%5.8%4.7%3.7%7.3%
Net Margin4.8%4.8%3.1%2.8%4.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.241.241.101.131.06
Current Ratio1.121.12———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-18.17B$-18.17B$17.30B$8.70B$11.41B
Returns
ROE10.2%10.2%7.3%6.5%10.0%
Valuation
P/E8.538.5314.0214.0112.04
EV/EBITDA12.3012.3012.7913.679.72
P/B1.191.191.030.910.98
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-8.7%-8.7%18.2%4.9%—
EPS Growth——28.4%-21.7%—
Dividend Yield4.7%4.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +10.1%

Total return

+10.1%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

313.86 → n/d

Residual

+5.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+4.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+5.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.