StockAnalyzer

Financial Analysis

DashboardSectorsComparablesScreenerUniverseMicrocapsAI 2nd OrderTheme MapEnergy & MaterialsMacroWatchlistCompareMi CarteraPortfolio

Recent

v0.1
1851.HK$7.95-0.13%
Fair $7.95+0.0%

1851.HK

China Gingko Education Group Company Limited

Consumer Defensive / Education & Training ServicesHKSE

$7.95

-0.01 (-0.13%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $7.95Fund rank 37/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 60/B
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $97.5M · quality 80.3/100

Data gap 37/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 85/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

60/100

B

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 1851.HKLocal privado en este navegador · China Gingko Education Group Company Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.0B

P/E

20.9x

↑

EV/EBITDA

17.6x

↑

ROE

14.8%

↑

Gross Margin

55.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.16

↓
52-Week Range$8
$1$8

TradingView lightweight chart

1851.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $7.950Periodo +488.9%
Fair value: $7.950

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+11.9%

FCF CAGR

+26.2%

FCF margin

29.4%

FCF / Net income

0.72x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $400.7M · net income $162.6M · FCF $117.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

55.3%-1.4% pts

Operating margin

42.3%+4.2% pts

Net margin

40.6%+10.9% pts

FCF margin

29.4%+8.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$400.7M$400.7M$372.7M$354.9M$286.2M
Net Income$162.6M$162.6M$153.2M$148.0M$85.0M
EBITDA$222.4M$222.4M$203.8M$209.2M$152.8M
EPS——0.310.300.17
Gross Margin55.3%55.3%56.3%60.1%56.7%
Operating Margin42.3%42.3%41.5%45.6%38.2%
Net Margin40.6%40.6%41.1%41.7%29.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.160.160.330.430.63
Current Ratio0.690.69———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$117.8M$117.8M$97.5M$96.4M$58.6M
Returns
ROE14.8%14.8%16.3%18.9%13.4%
Valuation
P/E20.9220.922.583.604.41
EV/EBITDA17.5917.592.163.183.77
P/B3.613.610.430.690.59
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth7.5%7.5%5.0%24.0%—
EPS Growth——3.3%76.5%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +573.7%

Total return

+573.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.31 → n/d

Residual

+573.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+573.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.