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v0.1
1854.HK$1.25-2.34%
Fair $1.25+0.0%

1854.HK

China Wantian Holdings Limited

Consumer Defensive / Food DistributionHKSE

$1.25

-0.03 (-2.34%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1.25Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 25/D
F-Score: 2/9
Margin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 23%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-58.2M · quality 66.7/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 45/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

25/100

D

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -2.0%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 1854.HKLocal privado en este navegador · China Wantian Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.5B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-204.5%

↓

Gross Margin

3.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.13

↑
52-Week Range$1
$1$1

TradingView lightweight chart

1854.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1.250Periodo -63.5%
Fair value: $1.250

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+109.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-5.0%

FCF / Net income

0.41x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.16B · net income $-142.0M · FCF $-58.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

3.5%-11.2% pts

Operating margin

-11.4%-3.3% pts

Net margin

-12.2%-3.6% pts

FCF margin

-5.0%+2.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.16B$1.16B$788.6M$202.1M$127.7M
Net Income$-142.0M$-142.0M$-42.0M$-27.7M$-11.0M
EBITDA$-111.4M$-111.4M$-21.0M$-12.8M$-4.3M
EPS——-0.02-0.02-0.01
Gross Margin3.5%3.5%6.6%17.8%14.7%
Operating Margin-11.4%-11.4%-11.2%-9.6%-8.2%
Net Margin-12.2%-12.2%-5.3%-13.7%-8.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.131.130.220.320.23
Current Ratio2.172.17———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-58.2M$-58.2M$-87.5M$-22.7M$-9.7M
Returns
ROE-204.5%-204.5%-20.0%-24.8%-9.1%
Valuation
P/B36.6836.6813.628.884.01
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth47.7%47.7%290.1%58.3%—
EPS Growth——-35.8%-133.3%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -8.1%

Total return

-8.1%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.02 → n/d

Residual

-8.1%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-8.1%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.