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1856.HK$1.75+0.00%
Fair $1.75+0.0%

1856.HK

Ernest Borel Holdings Limited

Consumer Cyclical / Luxury GoodsHKSE

$1.75

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1.75Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 21/D
F-Score: 1/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-32.7M · quality 52.3/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 21/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

21/100

D

Piotroski

1/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -89.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 1856.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Ernest Borel Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$630M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-89.4%

↓

Gross Margin

4.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.63

↑
52-Week Range$2
$1$2

TradingView lightweight chart

1856.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1.750Periodo -43.5%
Fair value: $1.750

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-16.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-60.1%

FCF / Net income

0.91x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $79.3M · net income $-52.5M · FCF $-47.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

4.1%-50.6% pts

Operating margin

-91.0%-91.4% pts

Net margin

-66.1%-57.4% pts

FCF margin

-60.1%-57.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$79.3M$79.3M$99.3M$165.0M$137.4M
Net Income$-52.5M$-52.5M$-47.9M$18.9M$-12.1M
EBITDA$-24.2M$-24.2M$-11.4M$51.0M$10.9M
EPS——-0.130.05-0.03
Gross Margin4.1%4.1%8.7%52.8%54.7%
Operating Margin-91.0%-91.0%-81.8%-15.1%0.4%
Net Margin-66.1%-66.1%-48.3%11.4%-8.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.630.630.370.340.38
Current Ratio1.031.03———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-47.7M$-47.7M$-32.7M$-13.0M$-4.1M
Returns
ROE-89.4%-89.4%-47.0%11.2%-11.2%
Valuation
P/E———35.85—
EV/EBITDA———14.2579.77
P/B10.7410.746.334.037.73
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-20.1%-20.1%-39.8%20.1%—
EPS Growth——-351.1%252.7%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +43.4%

Total return

+43.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.13 → n/d

Residual

+43.4%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+43.4%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.