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v0.1
1861.HK$2.10+0.00%
Fair $2.10+0.0%

1861.HK

Precious Dragon Technology Holdings Limited

Consumer Cyclical / Specialty RetailHKSE

$2.10

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.10Fund rank 37/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 70/B
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $57.8M · quality 78.0/100

Data gap 37/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 74/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

70/100

B

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 1861.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Precious Dragon Technology Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$491M

P/E

8.4x

↓

EV/EBITDA

2.9x

↓

ROE

15.6%

↑

Gross Margin

43.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.04

↓
52-Week Range$2
$1$3

TradingView lightweight chart

1861.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.100Periodo -28.1%
Fair value: $2.100

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+5.4%

FCF CAGR

+15.4%

FCF margin

11.1%

FCF / Net income

1.24x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $655.8M · net income $58.8M · FCF $72.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

43.6%+16.0% pts

Operating margin

15.0%+3.8% pts

Net margin

9.0%+1.5% pts

FCF margin

11.1%+2.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$655.8M$655.8M$613.0M$557.2M$559.8M
Net Income$58.8M$58.8M$34.1M$56.9M$42.0M
EBITDA$117.7M$117.7M$75.4M$99.3M$83.3M
EPS——0.150.240.18
Gross Margin43.6%43.6%37.1%31.6%27.5%
Operating Margin15.0%15.0%10.8%13.6%11.2%
Net Margin9.0%9.0%5.6%10.2%7.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.040.040.080.120.19
Current Ratio2.162.16———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$72.8M$72.8M$25.9M$57.8M$47.4M
Returns
ROE15.6%15.6%10.5%18.5%15.7%
Valuation
P/E8.408.407.196.634.89
EV/EBITDA2.882.882.193.071.98
P/B1.301.300.751.220.77
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth7.0%7.0%10.0%-0.5%—
EPS Growth——-39.9%35.0%—
Dividend Yield3.6%3.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +103.6%

Total return

+103.6%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.15 → n/d

Residual

+100.0%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+3.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+100.0%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.