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1866.T$983.00+0.61%
Fair $983.00+0.0%

1866.T

Kitano Construction Corp.

Industrials / Engineering & ConstructionTokyo

$983.00

+6.00 (+0.61%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $983.00Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 34/D
F-Score: 1/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $1.3B · quality 35.3/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 22/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

34/100

D

Piotroski

1/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 1866.TLocal privado en este navegador · Kitano Construction Corp.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$23.9B

P/E

6.8x

↓

EV/EBITDA

0.8x

↓

ROE

7.2%

↑

Gross Margin

12.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$983
$960$1714

TradingView lightweight chart

1866.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $983.00Periodo +89.0%
Fair value: $983.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+10.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-8.5%

FCF / Net income

-2.04x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $80.85B · net income $3.38B · FCF $-6.90B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

12.2%+1.2% pts

Operating margin

4.5%+0.5% pts

Net margin

4.2%+1.3% pts

FCF margin

-8.5%-11.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$80.85B$80.85B$84.96B$85.28B$60.10B
Net Income$3.38B$3.38B$3.90B$1.99B$1.74B
EBITDA$5.17B$5.17B$5.99B$4.23B$3.67B
EPS140.55140.55168.4081.9470.14
Gross Margin12.2%12.2%12.3%11.2%11.1%
Operating Margin4.5%4.5%5.7%4.6%4.0%
Net Margin4.2%4.2%4.6%2.3%2.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity————0.11
Current Ratio1.891.89———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-6.90B$-6.90B$1.26B$16.06B$1.99B
Returns
ROE7.2%7.2%9.0%5.2%4.7%
Valuation
P/E6.856.855.239.637.84
EV/EBITDA0.780.78-0.99-1.650.74
P/B0.490.490.470.500.37
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-4.8%-4.8%-0.4%41.9%—
EPS Growth-16.5%-16.5%105.5%16.8%—
Dividend Yield6.1%6.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-14.7%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$87.22

Spread vs growth

-1.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-5.6%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$105.54

Spread vs growth

-11.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

1.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$169.98

Spread vs growth

-18.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +6.7%

Total return

+6.7%

Start / end P/E

5.8x → 7.0x

EPS bridge

168.40 → 140.55

Residual

-3.4%

EPS growth-16.5%
Multiple rerating+20.5%
Dividend+6.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-3.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.