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1872.HK$6.10+0.49%
Fair $6.10+0.0%

1872.HK

Guan Chao Holdings Limited

Consumer Cyclical / Auto & Truck DealershipsHKSE

$6.10

+0.03 (+0.49%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $6.10Fund rank 23/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 35/D
F-Score: 2/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $4.5M · quality 39.7/100

Data gap 23/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 5/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

35/100

D

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. ROE is -5.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 1872.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Guan Chao Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.0B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

969.7x

↑

ROE

-5.2%

↓

Gross Margin

9.0%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.45

↑
52-Week Range$6
$3$9

TradingView lightweight chart

1872.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $6.100Periodo -3.2%
Fair value: $6.100

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+22.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-20.4%

FCF / Net income

8.18x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $327.9M · net income $-8.2M · FCF $-66.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

9.0%-4.2% pts

Operating margin

-1.8%-6.1% pts

Net margin

-2.5%-5.3% pts

FCF margin

-20.4%-1.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$327.9M$327.9M$190.9M$180.9M$179.1M
Net Income$-8.2M$-8.2M$-3.3M$7.8M$5.0M
EBITDA$3.8M$3.8M$5.2M$16.9M$12.3M
EPS-0.01-0.01-0.030.030.02
Gross Margin9.0%9.0%11.2%12.4%13.3%
Operating Margin-1.8%-1.8%-0.6%4.9%4.3%
Net Margin-2.5%-2.5%-1.7%4.3%2.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.450.450.781.001.18
Current Ratio2.262.26———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-66.8M$-66.8M$11.6M$4.5M$-34.3M
Returns
ROE-5.2%-5.2%-4.7%10.8%7.9%
Valuation
P/E———19.8494.50
EV/EBITDA969.71969.7128.9312.5444.41
P/B22.8922.891.492.147.47
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth71.8%71.8%5.5%1.0%—
EPS Growth56.9%56.9%-200.8%68.6%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +30.3%

Total return

+30.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.03 → -0.01

Residual

+30.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+30.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.