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1873.HK$1.28+1.59%
Fair $1.28+0.0%

1873.HK

Viva Biotech Holdings

Healthcare / BiotechnologyHKSE

$1.28

+0.02 (+1.59%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1.28Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 33/D
F-Score: 7/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $182.3M · quality 39.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 9/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

33/100

D

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is 4.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 1873.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Viva Biotech Holdings
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.7B

P/E

18.3x

↓

EV/EBITDA

7.1x

↓

ROE

4.4%

↑

Gross Margin

34.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.34

↑
52-Week Range$1
$1$3

TradingView lightweight chart

1873.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1.280Periodo -71.0%
Fair value: $1.280

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-1.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

9.2%

FCF / Net income

1.09x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.99B · net income $167.3M · FCF $182.3M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

34.6%+3.7% pts

Operating margin

13.6%+0.7% pts

Net margin

8.4%-5.2% pts

FCF margin

9.2%+32.4% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$1.99B$1.99B$2.16B$2.38B$2.10B
Net Income$167.3M$167.3M$-116.1M$-528.5M$287.5M
EBITDA$563.5M$563.5M$331.8M$-89.0M$684.0M
EPS0.060.06-0.14-0.280.08
Gross Margin34.6%34.6%34.3%34.3%30.9%
Operating Margin13.6%13.6%11.9%13.1%12.8%
Net Margin8.4%8.4%-5.4%-22.2%13.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.340.340.520.780.68
Current Ratio1.511.51———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$182.3M$182.3M$195.6M$136.5M$-488.5M
Returns
ROE4.4%4.4%-3.1%-14.7%7.3%
Valuation
P/E18.2918.29——54.00
EV/EBITDA7.127.128.49—15.16
P/B0.970.970.530.992.18
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-7.8%-7.8%-9.4%13.1%—
EPS Growth142.9%142.9%50.0%-450.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

23.7%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.11

Spread vs growth

119.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

18.0%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.14

Spread vs growth

124.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

13.9%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.22

Spread vs growth

128.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -25.1%

Total return

-25.1%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.14 → 0.06

Residual

-25.1%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-25.1%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.