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1883.HK$2.72+1.49%
Fair $2.72+0.0%

1883.HK

CITIC Telecom International Holdings Limited

Communication Services / Telecom ServicesHKSE

$2.72

+0.04 (+1.49%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.72Fund rank 36/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 53/C
F-Score: 8/9
Declining RevenueMargin Compression

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $1.6B · quality 77.3/100

Data gap 36/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 76/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

53/100

C

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 1883.HKLocal privado en este navegador · CITIC Telecom International Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$10.1B

P/E

10.9x

↓

EV/EBITDA

6.0x

↓

ROE

8.3%

↑

Gross Margin

37.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.32

↑
52-Week Range$3
$2$3

TradingView lightweight chart

1883.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.720Periodo -30.6%
Fair value: $2.720

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-1.8%

FCF CAGR

-7.5%

FCF margin

19.9%

FCF / Net income

2.07x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $9.57B · net income $920.0M · FCF $1.90B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

37.6%-5.3% pts

Operating margin

12.8%-4.1% pts

Net margin

9.6%-2.2% pts

FCF margin

19.9%-3.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$9.57B$9.57B$9.57B$9.99B$10.11B
Net Income$920.0M$920.0M$910.0M$1.23B$1.19B
EBITDA$1.96B$1.96B$2.06B$2.64B$2.68B
EPS0.250.250.250.330.32
Gross Margin37.6%37.6%37.1%42.1%42.9%
Operating Margin12.8%12.8%13.1%16.6%16.9%
Net Margin9.6%9.6%9.5%12.3%11.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.320.320.390.400.48
Current Ratio1.011.01———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.90B$1.90B$1.16B$1.57B$2.40B
Returns
ROE8.3%8.3%8.5%11.4%11.5%
Valuation
P/E10.8810.889.279.018.54
EV/EBITDA5.955.955.355.174.92
P/B0.910.910.791.030.98
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-0.1%-0.1%-4.1%-1.2%—
EPS Growth1.2%1.2%-26.1%3.1%—
Dividend Yield7.0%7.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-1.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.24

Spread vs growth

2.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

3.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.29

Spread vs growth

-2.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

6.6%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.47

Spread vs growth

-5.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +20.3%

Total return

+20.3%

Start / end P/E

9.8x → 10.9x

EPS bridge

0.25 → 0.25

Residual

+0.1%

EPS growth+1.2%
Multiple rerating+12.0%
Dividend+7.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.