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1885.T$2183.00-2.46%
Fair $2183.00+0.0%

1885.T

TOA Corporation

Industrials / Engineering & ConstructionTokyo

$2183.00

-55.00 (-2.46%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2183.00Fund rank 23/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 55/C
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-16.2B · quality 39.7/100

Data gap 23/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 6/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

55/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 1885.TLocal privado en este navegador · TOA Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$168.8B

P/E

8.8x

↓

EV/EBITDA

7.4x

↓

ROE

14.0%

↑

Gross Margin

10.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.47

↑
52-Week Range$2183
$1410$4680

TradingView lightweight chart

1885.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2,183Periodo +571.7%
Fair value: $2,183

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+14.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-4.9%

FCF / Net income

-1.09x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $330.47B · net income $14.91B · FCF $-16.20B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

10.6%+0.9% pts

Operating margin

6.2%+1.7% pts

Net margin

4.5%+1.2% pts

FCF margin

-4.9%-2.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$330.47B$330.47B$283.85B$213.57B$219.81B
Net Income$14.91B$14.91B$10.52B$4.83B$7.38B
EBITDA$24.73B$24.73B$19.95B$10.13B$12.76B
EPS187.94187.94127.7356.1481.63
Gross Margin10.6%10.6%10.7%8.4%9.7%
Operating Margin6.2%6.2%6.1%3.1%4.5%
Net Margin4.5%4.5%3.7%2.3%3.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.470.470.500.530.36
Current Ratio1.451.45———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-16.20B$-16.20B$36.27B$-17.49B$-5.35B
Returns
ROE14.0%14.0%11.0%5.5%8.6%
Valuation
P/E8.798.798.8912.108.59
EV/EBITDA7.367.364.217.634.88
P/B1.631.630.980.660.74
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth16.4%16.4%32.9%-2.8%—
EPS Growth47.1%47.1%127.5%-31.2%—
Dividend Yield3.4%3.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

1.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$193.70

Spread vs growth

46.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

4.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$234.38

Spread vs growth

42.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

7.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$377.48

Spread vs growth

39.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +56.1%

Total return

+56.1%

Start / end P/E

11.2x → 11.6x

EPS bridge

127.73 → 187.94

Residual

+1.8%

EPS growth+47.1%
Multiple rerating+3.8%
Dividend+3.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+1.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.