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v0.1
1895.HK$0.34+0.00%
Fair $0.34+0.0%

1895.HK

Xinyuan Property Management Service (Cayman) Ltd.

Real Estate / Real Estate ServicesHKSE

$0.34

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.34Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 44/C
F-Score: 6/9

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 40.0/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 27/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

44/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific NAV/AFFO model required: REIT/real-estate targets are disabled until FFO/AFFO/NAV/cap-rate data exists. REIT NAV/AFFO valuation requires positive AFFO/share history or TTM AFFO/share; generic FCF remains disabled.
Thesis & Journal · 1895.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Xinyuan Property Management Service (Cayman) Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$202M

P/E

1.8x

↓

EV/EBITDA

-0.0x

↓

ROE

15.0%

↑

Gross Margin

31.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.05

↓
52-Week Range$0
$0$1

TradingView lightweight chart

1895.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.340Periodo -88.5%
Fair value: $0.340

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+9.6%

FCF CAGR

-53.7%

FCF margin

2.8%

FCF / Net income

0.26x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $904.9M · net income $97.8M · FCF $25.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

31.2%-2.2% pts

Operating margin

15.0%+20.3% pts

Net margin

10.8%+59.5% pts

FCF margin

2.8%-34.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$904.9M$904.9M$868.9M$749.6M$686.5M
Net Income$97.8M$97.8M$87.0M$28.1M$-334.3M
EBITDA$163.6M$163.6M$112.5M$74.8M$-293.0M
EPS——0.150.05-0.59
Gross Margin31.2%31.2%28.2%32.2%33.4%
Operating Margin15.0%15.0%12.4%18.8%-5.3%
Net Margin10.8%10.8%10.0%3.8%-48.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.050.050.080.020.01
Current Ratio1.651.65———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$25.1M$25.1M$27.5M$10.2M$253.1M
Returns
ROE15.0%15.0%14.9%5.2%-65.5%
Valuation
P/E1.791.794.0517.54—
EV/EBITDA-0.04-0.041.203.29—
P/B0.310.310.600.920.97
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth4.1%4.1%15.9%9.2%—
EPS Growth——204.0%108.4%—
Dividend Yield16.2%16.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -18.4%

Total return

-18.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.15 → n/d

Residual

-34.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+16.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-34.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.