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v0.1
1909.T$3730.00-0.53%
Fair $3730.00+0.0%

1909.T

Nippon Dry-Chemical Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Security & Protection ServicesTokyo

$3730.00

-20.00 (-0.53%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3730.00Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 71/B
F-Score: 8/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $680.8M · quality 50.3/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 23/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

71/100

B

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 1909.TLocal privado en este navegador · Nippon Dry-Chemical Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$100.0B

P/E

19.7x

↑

EV/EBITDA

14.2x

↑

ROE

15.4%

↑

Gross Margin

26.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.21

↓
52-Week Range$3730
$1063$3835

TradingView lightweight chart

1909.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3,730Periodo +2674.5%
Fair value: $3,730

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+7.6%

FCF CAGR

+56.3%

FCF margin

13.7%

FCF / Net income

1.93x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $55.73B · net income $3.96B · FCF $7.64B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

26.6%+4.6% pts

Operating margin

11.0%+4.7% pts

Net margin

7.1%+2.9% pts

FCF margin

13.7%+9.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$55.73B$55.73B$55.88B$50.22B$44.79B
Net Income$3.96B$3.96B$3.29B$2.54B$1.89B
EBITDA$6.76B$6.76B$6.12B$5.07B$3.62B
EPS147.67147.67120.3991.6367.52
Gross Margin26.6%26.6%23.2%23.2%22.0%
Operating Margin11.0%11.0%8.5%7.7%6.3%
Net Margin7.1%7.1%5.9%5.1%4.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.210.210.370.390.44
Current Ratio2.302.30———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$7.64B$7.64B$680.8M$-697.8M$2.00B
Returns
ROE15.4%15.4%14.8%13.3%11.2%
Valuation
P/E19.6619.665.414.776.45
EV/EBITDA14.1814.183.443.053.87
P/B3.903.900.800.640.72
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-0.3%-0.3%11.3%12.1%—
EPS Growth22.7%22.7%31.4%35.7%—
Dividend Yield0.6%0.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

30.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$330.98

Spread vs growth

-8.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

22.1%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$400.48

Spread vs growth

0.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

15.9%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$644.98

Spread vs growth

6.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +234.8%

Total return

+234.8%

Start / end P/E

9.3x → 25.3x

EPS bridge

120.39 → 147.67

Residual

+39.1%

EPS growth+22.7%
Multiple rerating+172.4%
Dividend+0.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+39.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.