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v0.1
1921.HK$3.33+4.72%
Fair $3.33+0.0%

1921.HK

Dalipal Holdings Limited

Energy / Oil & Gas Equipment & ServicesHKSE

$3.33

+0.15 (+4.72%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3.33Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 20/D
F-Score: 5/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-262.6M · quality 37.3/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 27/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

20/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. ROE is 1.0%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 1921.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Dalipal Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.3B

P/E

333.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

33.7x

↑

ROE

1.0%

↓

Gross Margin

10.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.84

↑
52-Week Range$3
$1$10

TradingView lightweight chart

1921.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3.330Periodo +117.6%
Fair value: $3.330

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-6.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-7.6%

FCF / Net income

-19.13x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $3.46B · net income $13.7M · FCF $-262.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

10.3%-4.1% pts

Operating margin

2.6%-3.8% pts

Net margin

0.4%-3.2% pts

FCF margin

-7.6%-23.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$3.46B$3.46B$3.29B$3.85B$4.23B
Net Income$13.7M$13.7M$-77.1M$134.5M$151.6M
EBITDA$210.6M$210.6M$133.3M$368.2M$396.7M
EPS——-0.050.090.10
Gross Margin10.3%10.3%8.0%13.7%14.5%
Operating Margin2.6%2.6%-0.5%6.0%6.3%
Net Margin0.4%0.4%-2.3%3.5%3.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.841.841.691.221.39
Current Ratio1.071.07———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-262.6M$-262.6M$-318.0M$308.2M$681.2M
Returns
ROE1.0%1.0%-5.9%9.2%10.8%
Valuation
P/E333.00333.00—46.1123.50
EV/EBITDA33.6733.67113.2220.3112.65
P/B3.723.7210.104.202.52
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth5.2%5.2%-14.5%-8.9%—
EPS Growth——-155.6%-10.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -52.2%

Total return

-52.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.05 → n/d

Residual

-52.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-52.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.