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1948.T$11460.00+0.00%
Fair $11460.00+0.0%

1948.T

The Kodensha Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Engineering & ConstructionTokyo

$11460.00

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $11460.00Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 71/B
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $135.0M · quality 46.3/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 18/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

71/100

B

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 1948.TLocal privado en este navegador · The Kodensha Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$100.1B

P/E

34.7x

↑

EV/EBITDA

25.3x

↑

ROE

12.6%

↑

Gross Margin

20.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.02

↓
52-Week Range$11460
$2070$11470

TradingView lightweight chart

1948.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $11,460Periodo +1388.3%
Fair value: $11,460

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+10.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

2.3%

FCF / Net income

0.33x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $39.26B · net income $2.74B · FCF $916.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

20.8%+4.3% pts

Operating margin

7.8%+6.4% pts

Net margin

7.0%+5.9% pts

FCF margin

2.3%+5.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$39.26B$39.26B$34.87B$33.56B$29.16B
Net Income$2.74B$2.74B$899.0M$556.0M$310.0M
EBITDA$3.99B$3.99B$1.53B$1.05B$651.0M
EPS309.66309.66101.5162.7535.09
Gross Margin20.8%20.8%17.5%16.0%16.5%
Operating Margin7.8%7.8%3.3%2.0%1.4%
Net Margin7.0%7.0%2.6%1.7%1.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.020.020.030.030.03
Current Ratio2.332.33———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$916.0M$916.0M$135.0M$71.0M$-977.0M
Returns
ROE12.6%12.6%4.4%3.0%1.7%
Valuation
P/E34.7234.7212.5113.9024.28
EV/EBITDA25.2725.276.776.3710.08
P/B4.654.650.550.410.41
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth12.6%12.6%3.9%15.1%—
EPS Growth205.1%205.1%61.8%78.8%—
Dividend Yield1.0%1.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

48.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1016.88

Spread vs growth

156.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

31.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1230.43

Spread vs growth

173.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

20.4%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1981.62

Spread vs growth

184.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +436.5%

Total return

+436.5%

Start / end P/E

21.1x → 37.0x

EPS bridge

101.51 → 309.66

Residual

+154.9%

EPS growth+205.1%
Multiple rerating+75.5%
Dividend+1.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+154.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.